Where the market is wrong on Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed v Tira
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed meet Tira in the Liga Alef north - 1.
Tira rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1420. Recent form leans Tira, 71% against 36%. Attacking output favors Tira on expected goals, 1.7 to 0.9 per match.
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Tira, L 1-2 v Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm, W 2-1 @ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan, D 0-0 v Maccabi K. Ata Bialik.
Tira are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed, D 0-0 @ Hapoel Beit Shean, D 0-0 v Hapoel Ironi Karmiel, W 3-1 @ Tzeirey Tamra.
The market prices MAC at 16% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output