Nazarenos v Vitória de Sernache: the model read
Nazarenos meet Vitória de Sernache in the Taça de Portugal 1/128-finals.
Vitória de Sernache rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans Vitória de Sernache, 55% against 17%. Attacking output favors Vitória de Sernache on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.3 per match.
Nazarenos arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 1 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Atlético Malveira, L 0-3 v Vitória de Sernache, L 0-1 v O Elvas, L 1-3 @ Mortágua.
Vitória de Sernache are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v CF Os Belenenses, W 3-0 @ Nazarenos, L 2-3 @ Oliveirense, D 0-0 v SC Covilha.
Vitória de Sernache hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nazarenos 0-3 Vitória de Sernache.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
