Atlético Malveira v Mafra: the model read
Atlético Malveira meet Mafra in the Taça de Portugal 1/128-finals at Estadio das Seixas, Malveira.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mafra, 53% against 43%. Attacking output favors Mafra on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.
Atlético Malveira arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Nazarenos, L 2-3 v Mafra, L 0-5 @ Fátima, L 0-1 v Os Marialvas.
Mafra are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v SC Covilha, W 3-2 @ Atlético Malveira, L 1-2 @ Lusitano Évora 1911, D 1-1 @ Atlético CP.
Mafra hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Atlético Malveira 2-3 Mafra.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
