Where the market is wrong on Guabirá v Aurora
Guabirá meet Aurora in the Primera División apertura - 20 at Estadio Gilberto Parada, Montero.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 63%. Attacking output favors Guabirá on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
Guabirá arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Aurora, L 0-6 @ Always Ready, L 0-1 @ Oriente Petrolero, D 1-1 v Real Potosí.
Aurora are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Guabirá, W 2-0 @ San Antonio Bulo Bulo, W 1-0 v Real Potosí, W 3-0 v Gualberto Villarroel SJ.
Guabirá hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Guabirá 3-1 Aurora.
The market prices GUA at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Aurora: a 6.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
