Varea v La Calzada: the model read
Varea meet La Calzada in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 group 16 - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Varea, 60% against 48%. Attacking output favors La Calzada on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
Varea arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v La Calzada, D 1-1 @ Pradejón, D 0-0 v San Marcial, D 1-1 @ Cenicero.
La Calzada are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Varea, W 3-2 v Vianés, W 3-0 @ Casalarreina, W 2-1 v Calahorra.
Varea hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Varea 1-0 La Calzada.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
