Where the market is wrong on Santomera v Algar
Santomera meet Algar in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 group 13 - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Santomera, 43% against 30%. Attacking output favors Santomera on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Santomera arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Algar, D 2-2 @ Los Garres, W 2-1 v UCAM Murcia II, W 3-1 v Torrellano.
Algar are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Santomera, L 0-3 v Bullas Deportivo, L 0-2 @ Atlético Pulpileño, W 4-3 v Plus Ultra.
Santomera hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Santomera 2-0 Algar.
The market prices SAN at 67% implied. Our number sits apart on Algar: a 17.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
