Guarnizo v Velarde: the model read
Guarnizo meet Velarde in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 group 3 - 4.
Guarnizo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans Guarnizo, 63% against 30%. Attacking output favors Guarnizo on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.
Guarnizo arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Velarde, L 1-4 @ Sámano, L 0-1 v Cayón, L 1-2 @ Atlético Mineros.
Velarde are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Guarnizo, L 1-4 v Vimenor, W 1-0 @ Barquereño, D 0-0 v Naval Reinosa.
Guarnizo hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Guarnizo 3-1 Velarde.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
