Where the market is wrong on Wigry Suwałki v Nieciecza
Wigry Suwałki meet Nieciecza in the Cup round of 64.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 68%. Attacking output favors Nieciecza on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.6 per match.
Wigry Suwałki arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Polonia Lidzbark Warm., L 1-5 v Nieciecza, W 3-1 @ Olimpia Elbląg, D 0-0 v Swit.
Nieciecza are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Lechia Gdansk, W 5-1 @ Wigry Suwałki, D 2-2 @ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, L 1-3 v Polonia Warszawa.
Nieciecza hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Wigry Suwałki 1-5 Nieciecza.
The market prices WIG at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on Wigry Suwałki: a 13.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
