Where the market is wrong on Motor Lublin v Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin meet Legia Warszawa in the Cup round of 64 at Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin.
Legia Warszawa rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1523. Recent form leans Legia Warszawa, 75% against 53%. Attacking output favors Legia Warszawa on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Motor Lublin arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Legia Warszawa, L 0-2 v Piast Gliwice, D 1-1 @ Korona Kielce, W 1-0 v GKS Katowice.
Legia Warszawa are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Motor Lublin, D 1-1 v Slask Wroclaw, D 1-1 @ Piast Gliwice, W 5-0 v Radomiak Radom.
Legia Warszawa hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Motor Lublin 3-0 Legia Warszawa.
The market prices MOT at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on Motor Lublin: a 6.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
