Where the market is wrong on San Lorenzo Res. v Aldosivi Res.
San Lorenzo Res. meet Aldosivi Res. in the Reserve League clausura - 11.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans San Lorenzo Res., 50% against 38%. Attacking output favors San Lorenzo Res. on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.
San Lorenzo Res. arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Aldosivi Res., L 0-2 v Huracán Res., L 0-2 @ Gimnasia La Plata Res., L 0-1 v Unión Santa Fe Res..
Aldosivi Res. are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ San Lorenzo Res., L 0-1 v Quilmes 2, L 0-1 v Vélez Sársfield Res., D 2-2 @ River Plate Res..
San Lorenzo Res. hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: San Lorenzo Res. 3-2 Aldosivi Res..
The market prices SAN at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output