Where the market is wrong on NagaWorld v Life Sihanoukville
NagaWorld meet Life Sihanoukville in the C-League regular season - 2 at Kampong Speu Stadium, Kampong Speu.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans NagaWorld, 48% against 28%. Attacking output favors NagaWorld on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
NagaWorld arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Life Sihanoukville, D 2-2 @ Phnom Penh Crown, L 1-4 @ Angkor Tiger, L 0-3 @ Phnom Penh Crown.
Life Sihanoukville are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ NagaWorld, W 1-0 @ Kirivong Sok Sen Chey, W 4-0 @ National Defense, L 0-2 @ Visakha.
The market prices NAG at 75% implied. Our number sits apart on Life Sihanoukville: a 19.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output