Where the market is wrong on Sorrento v Casarano
Sorrento meet Casarano in the Serie C - Girone C girone c - 8 at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio, Picerno.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 55%. Attacking output favors Casarano on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Sorrento arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Casarano, L 0-2 @ Foggia, L 1-2 v Bari, W 3-2 @ Cavese.
Casarano are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Sorrento, L 0-1 v SS Monopoli, D 1-1 @ Savoia, W 1-0 v Audace Cerignola.
Sorrento hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sorrento 2-0 Casarano.
The market prices SOR at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
