Salernitana v Sorrento

Salernitana meet Sorrento in the Serie C - Girone C girone c - 1 at Stadio Arechi, Salerno.

Salernitana rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1408. Recent form leans Salernitana, 57% against 35%. Attacking output favors Salernitana on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Salernitana at 60%; double chance reads Salernitana or draw 73%, Sorrento or draw 58%.

Salernitana arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Sorrento, L 1-2 v Scafatese, W 2-1 v Sambiase, L 0-2 @ Union Brescia.

Sorrento are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Salernitana, D 0-0 @ Giugliano, D 0-0 @ AZ Picerno, D 1-1 v Atalanta II.

Salernitana hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Salernitana 1-2 Sorrento.

The market prices SAL at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on Sorrento: a 12.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.