Where the market is wrong on Spezia v Vis Pesaro
Spezia meet Vis Pesaro in the Serie C - Girone B girone b - 6 at Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia.
Spezia rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans Spezia, 63% against 25%. Attacking output favors Spezia on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.9 per match.
Spezia arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 12 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Pescara, W 3-1 v Vis Pesaro, W 3-0 @ Perugia, W 2-0 v Livorno.
Vis Pesaro are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Guidonia Montecelio 1937, L 1-3 @ Spezia, L 1-4 v Reggiana, L 1-2 @ Forli.
Spezia hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Spezia 3-1 Vis Pesaro.
The market prices SPE at 77% implied. Our number sits apart on Vis Pesaro: a 12.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
