Where the market is wrong on Treviso v Desenzano Calvina
Treviso meet Desenzano Calvina in the Serie C - Girone A girone a - 6 at Stadio Omobono Tenni, Treviso.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Desenzano Calvina, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors Treviso on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.9 per match.
Treviso arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Renate, D 0-0 v Desenzano Calvina, D 2-2 @ Union Brescia, W 2-1 v PRO Vercelli.
Desenzano Calvina are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Juventus U23, D 0-0 @ Treviso, L 1-3 v Lecco, W 2-1 @ Arzignano Valchiampo.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Treviso 0-0 Desenzano Calvina.
The market prices TRE at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Desenzano Calvina: a 16.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output