Where the market is wrong on Alcione v Union Brescia
Alcione meet Union Brescia in the Serie C - Girone A girone a - 6 at Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni.
Union Brescia rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1408. Recent form leans Union Brescia, 68% against 40%. Attacking output favors Union Brescia on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.8 per match.
Alcione arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Union Brescia, D 2-2 @ PRO Vercelli, W 3-2 @ Folgore Caratese, D 1-1 v Treviso.
Union Brescia are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Alcione, D 2-2 v Treviso, D 0-0 @ Trento, W 1-0 v Desenzano Calvina.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Alcione 0-4 Union Brescia.
The market prices ALC at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
