Where the market is wrong on Renate v Dolomiti Bellunesi
Renate meet Dolomiti Bellunesi in the Serie C - Girone A girone a - 5 at Mino Favini, Meda.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 48%. Attacking output favors Renate on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.
Renate arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Dolomiti Bellunesi, D 2-2 @ Lumezzane, L 1-2 v Novara, L 1-4 @ Cittadella.
Dolomiti Bellunesi are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Renate, D 0-0 v Albinoleffe, W 2-1 @ Giana Erminio, D 2-2 @ Arzignano Valchiampo.
Renate hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Renate 0-0 Dolomiti Bellunesi.
The market prices REN at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Dolomiti Bellunesi: a 5.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output