Chaves II v Rebordosa: the model read
Chaves II meet Rebordosa in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A group a - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 48%. Attacking output favors Chaves II on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Chaves II at 52%; double chance reads Chaves II or draw 67%, Rebordosa or draw 65%.
Chaves II arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Rebordosa, L 1-3 @ Os Limianos, L 0-1 @ Chaves, D 1-1 @ Tirsense.
Rebordosa are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Chaves II, L 0-1 v Tirsense, L 0-2 @ Vianense, W 2-1 v Leça.
Chaves II hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chaves II 1-0 Rebordosa.
The market prices CHA at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on Chaves II: a 2.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
