Aymorés v Villa Nova: the model read
Aymorés meet Villa Nova in the Mineiro - 2 semi-finals. The model makes Aymorés the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% AYM, 32% draw, 27% VIL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Aymorés, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Aymorés on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Aymorés at 60%; double chance reads Aymorés or draw 73%, Villa Nova or draw 59%.
Aymorés arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ BOA, W 2-0 v BOA, D 2-2 v Democrata SL, D 1-1 @ Villa Nova.
Villa Nova are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Valeriodoce, D 1-1 v Valeriodoce, L 0-1 @ Valeriodoce, D 1-1 v Aymorés.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Villa Nova 1-1 Aymorés.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
