Mamoré v Democrata SL: the model read
Mamoré meet Democrata SL in the Mineiro - 2 semi-finals. The model makes Democrata SL the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 23% MAM, 35% draw, 42% DEM.
Democrata SL rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1400. Recent form leans Democrata SL, 57% against 35%. Attacking output favors Democrata SL on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 17%, over 2.5 goals around 15%. Draw no bet leans Democrata SL at 65%; double chance reads Mamoré or draw 58%, Democrata SL or draw 77%.
Mamoré arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Uberaba, W 2-1 v Uberaba, W 1-0 v CAP, L 0-1 @ Uberaba.
Democrata SL are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v CAP, W 4-1 @ CAP, D 2-2 @ Aymorés, W 5-0 v Ipatinga.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2020: Mamoré 2-2 Democrata SL.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
