Goiatuba EC v ASA: the model read
Goiatuba EC meet ASA in the Serie D quarter-finals. The model makes ASA the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 30% GOI, 34% draw, 36% ASA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 68%. Attacking output favors ASA on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 23%. Draw no bet leans ASA at 54%; double chance reads Goiatuba EC or draw 64%, ASA or draw 70%.
Goiatuba EC arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Ferroviario, W 3-0 v Ferroviario, W 2-1 @ Manauara, L 0-1 v Manauara.
ASA are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 13 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Cianorte, W 1-0 @ Cianorte, W 4-0 v Ivinhema, W 2-1 @ Ivinhema.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
