CSM Reşiţa v CSA Steaua Bucureşti: the model read
CSM Reşiţa meet CSA Steaua Bucureşti in the Liga II regular season - 5 at Mircea Chivu Stadium, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1407, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans CSM Reşiţa, 50% against 34%. Attacking output favors CSA Steaua Bucureşti on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans CSM Reşiţa at 55%; double chance reads CSM Reşiţa or draw 68%, CSA Steaua Bucureşti or draw 61%.
CSM Reşiţa arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v CSA Steaua Bucureşti, L 1-4 @ Popești-Leordeni, L 2-3 v Petrolul Ploiesti, W 2-0 v Ştefăneşti.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ CSM Reşiţa, D 2-2 v Dumbrăviţa, L 1-2 v Csikszereda, L 0-3 @ FC Bacau.
CSM Reşiţa hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: CSM Reşiţa 2-1 CSA Steaua Bucureşti.
The market prices CSM at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on CSA Steaua Bucureşti: a 1.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
