OshMU Aldier v Neftchi: the model read
OshMU Aldier meet Neftchi in the Premier League regular season - 16. The model makes OshMU Aldier the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% OSH, 29% draw, 30% NEF.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans OshMU Aldier, 50% against 38%. Attacking output favors OshMU Aldier on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans OshMU Aldier at 58%; double chance reads OshMU Aldier or draw 70%, Neftchi or draw 59%.
OshMU Aldier arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Neftchi, W 2-0 @ Neftchi, W 5-1 v Ilbirs, W 2-0 @ Alay.
Neftchi are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ OshMU Aldier, L 0-2 v OshMU Aldier, D 1-1 @ Talant, L 1-3 v Dordoi Bishkek.
Neftchi hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: OshMU Aldier 1-3 Neftchi.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
