Al-Gharafa v Al Shamal: the model read
Al-Gharafa meet Al Shamal in the Stars League regular season - 2 at Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Al Shamal, 48% against 35%. Attacking output favors Al Shamal on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Al-Gharafa arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Al Sadd, L 1-3 v Al Shamal, W 2-1 v Al Shahaniya, D 2-2 @ Al Riyadh.
Al Shamal are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 14 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Al-Rayyan SC, W 3-1 @ Al-Gharafa, D 2-2 @ Al-Arabi SC, L 4-6 v Al Sadd.
Al Shamal hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al-Gharafa 1-3 Al Shamal.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
