Caldas v Atlético CP: the model read
Caldas meet Atlético CP in the Liga 3 regular season - 15 at Campo da Mata, Caldas da Rainha. The model makes Atlético CP the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 27% CAL, 33% draw, 40% ATL.
Atlético CP rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans Atlético CP, 50% against 33%. Attacking output favors Atlético CP on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Atlético CP at 60%; double chance reads Caldas or draw 60%, Atlético CP or draw 73%.
Caldas arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ 1º Dezembro, D 1-1 v SC Covilha, L 0-2 @ Atlético CP, W 2-1 @ Amora.
Atlético CP are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Estoril, W 1-0 @ Lusitano Évora 1911, L 0-1 v 1º Dezembro, W 2-0 v Caldas.
Atlético CP hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Atlético CP 2-0 Caldas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
