Caldas v Mafra: the model read
Caldas meet Mafra in the Liga 3 regular season - 7 at Campo da Mata, Caldas da Rainha.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mafra, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Mafra on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.0 per match.
Caldas arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ União Santarém, L 1-3 v Sintrense, L 2-4 v Louletano, D 0-0 v Lusitano Évora 1911.
Mafra are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v SC Covilha, W 3-2 @ Atlético Malveira, L 1-2 @ Lusitano Évora 1911, D 1-1 @ Atlético CP.
Mafra hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mafra 4-2 Caldas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
