Leça v Fafe: the model read
Leça meet Fafe in the Liga 3 regular season - 4 at Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube, Leca da Palmeira.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 63%. Attacking output favors Leça on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.
Leça arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Fafe, W 2-1 @ Paredes, L 0-2 @ Guimaraes B, D 1-1 v São João Ver.
Fafe are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Leça, W 1-0 @ Pacos Ferreira, D 1-1 v Guimaraes B, W 3-1 @ São João Ver.
Fafe hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Leça 0-3 Fafe.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
