Where the market is wrong on Križevci v Jarun
Križevci meet Jarun in the Second NL regular season - 5 at Gradski stadion Krizevci, Krizevci.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 43%. Attacking output favors Križevci on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Križevci arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Jarun, W 3-0 @ Koprivnica, L 1-4 v Bjelovar, L 0-3 v Inter Zapresic.
Jarun are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Križevci, D 3-3 v Trnje, W 1-0 @ Slavonija Požega, D 4-4 v Zagora.
Jarun hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Križevci 2-2 Jarun.
The market prices KRI at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
