East Kilbride v Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic: the model read
East Kilbride meet Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic in the Challenge Cup group stage - 3 at K-Park Training Academy, East Kilbride. The model makes East Kilbride the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% EAS, 26% draw, 33% BON.
The baseline ratings are close, 1686 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 74% against 70%. Attacking output favors East Kilbride on expected goals, 3.0 to 2.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 88%, over 2.5 goals around 93%. Draw no bet leans East Kilbride at 55%; double chance reads East Kilbride or draw 67%, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic or draw 59%.
East Kilbride arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 17 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 @ ST Mirren, W 5-3 v Dumbarton, L 2-3 @ Cove Rangers, W 3-0 v Dunfermline.
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Bo'ness United, W 3-0 @ Musselburgh Athletic, D 1-1 @ Edinburgh City, L 1-2 v Linlithgow Rose.
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-0 East Kilbride.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
