Rapid Vienna v FC Santa Coloma

Rapid Vienna meet FC Santa Coloma in the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd qualifying round at Allianz Stadion, Vienna. The model makes FC Santa Coloma the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 30% RAP, 29% draw, 40% FC .

The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 65%. Attacking output favors FC Santa Coloma on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans FC Santa Coloma at 57%; double chance reads Rapid Vienna or draw 60%, FC Santa Coloma or draw 70%.

Rapid Vienna arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 15 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Wienerberg, W 3-1 @ FC Santa Coloma, W 3-2 v Hamburger SV, W 4-1 v Panathinaikos.

FC Santa Coloma are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Rapid Vienna, W 3-0 v Penybont, W 1-0 @ Penybont, L 2-3 v Atlètic Club d'Escaldes.

Rapid Vienna hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Santa Coloma 1-3 Rapid Vienna.

The market prices RAP at 81% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Santa Coloma: a 33.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.