Where the market is wrong on Union Berlin W v RB Leipzig W
Union Berlin W meet RB Leipzig W in the Frauen Bundesliga regular season - 5 at An der Alten Försterei, Berlin.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 38%. Attacking output favors Union Berlin W on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Union Berlin W arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v RB Leipzig W, L 0-3 @ FC Koln W, L 0-1 v Eintracht Frankfurt W, L 0-1 @ SC Freiburg W.
RB Leipzig W are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Union Berlin W, W 2-1 v Nürnberg W, D 1-1 @ Hamburger SV W, L 0-2 @ Werder Bremen W.
The market prices UNI at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on RB Leipzig W: a 9.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 74 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
