Lobos Upnfm v Estrella Roja: the model read
Lobos Upnfm meet Estrella Roja in the Liga Nacional apertura - 3 at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Estrella Roja, 53% against 35%. Attacking output favors Estrella Roja on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Lobos Upnfm arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Platense FC, W 1-0 v Atlético Choloma, L 0-2 @ Real Espana, L 0-1 @ Juticalpa.
Estrella Roja are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Atlético Choloma, D 2-2 v Platense FC, L 0-5 @ CD Marathon, D 2-2 v CD Olimpia.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Lobos Upnfm 2-2 Estrella Roja.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
