Where the market is wrong on Toluca U21 v Santos Laguna U21
Toluca U21 meet Santos Laguna U21 in the Liga MX U21 regular season - 9.
Toluca U21 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1443. Recent form leans Toluca U21, 71% against 43%. Attacking output favors Toluca U21 on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.8 per match.
Toluca U21 arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Cruz Azul U21, W 2-1 v Santos Laguna U21, W 2-0 v Atlas U21, W 2-1 v Juarez U21.
Santos Laguna U21 are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Pachuca U21, L 1-2 @ Toluca U21, D 1-1 v Juarez U21, L 0-4 @ Cruz Azul U21.
The market prices TOL at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 7.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output