Erzgebirge Aue v Hertha BSC II: the model read
Erzgebirge Aue meet Hertha BSC II in the Regionalliga - Nordost nordost - 6 at Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue. The model makes Hertha BSC II the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 35% ERZ, 28% draw, 37% HER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1456 to 1509, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 42% against 47%. Attacking output favors Erzgebirge Aue on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 78%, over 2.5 goals around 80%. Draw no bet leans Hertha BSC II at 52%; double chance reads Erzgebirge Aue or draw 63%, Hertha BSC II or draw 65%.
Erzgebirge Aue arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 17 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v FC Schalke 04, W 2-0 v Kladno, W 7-1 v VfL Halle, W 3-0 @ ZFC Meuselwitz.
Hertha BSC II are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Optik Rathenow, L 1-3 @ Energie Cottbus, L 1-3 @ SV Babelsberg 03, D 1-1 v Altglienicke.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
