Hartlepool v Harrogate Town: the model read
Hartlepool meet Harrogate Town in the National League regular season - 11 at Victoria Park, Hartlepool.
Harrogate Town rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1466. Recent form leans Harrogate Town, 70% against 40%. Attacking output favors Harrogate Town on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Hartlepool arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Harrogate Town, L 1-4 @ Scunthorpe, L 1-3 v Worthing, L 1-2 @ Altrincham.
Harrogate Town are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Hartlepool, W 4-1 v Eastleigh, L 1-4 @ Boreham Wood, L 1-2 v AFC Fylde.
The market prices HAR at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on Harrogate Town: a 2.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 63 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
