Where the market is wrong on Southend v Barrow
Southend meet Barrow in the National League regular season - 10 at Roots Hall, Southend on Sea.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 50%. Attacking output favors Southend on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.6 per match.
Southend arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 16 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Barrow, W 6-1 @ Gateshead, W 3-1 v Tamworth, D 2-2 @ Carlisle.
Barrow are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Southend, W 1-0 v Aldershot Town, L 0-1 @ Solihull Moors, D 2-2 @ Worthing.
Southend hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Southend 2-4 Barrow.
The market prices SOU at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on Barrow: a 12.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
