Where the market is wrong on Konyaspor v Kocaelispor
Konyaspor meet Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig regular season - 3 at Medas Konya Büyüksehir Belediyesi Stadium, Konya.
The baseline ratings are close, 1528 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Konyaspor, 50% against 38%. Attacking output favors Konyaspor on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Konyaspor arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Kocaelispor, L 2-4 @ Fenerbahçe, L 0-1 v Rizespor, W 2-0 v Al-Dhafra.
Kocaelispor are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Konyaspor, W 2-0 v Amed, L 0-2 @ Başakşehir, L 0-1 @ Antalyaspor.
The market prices KON at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Kocaelispor: a 6.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
