Where the market is wrong on Plaza Amador v Veraguas
Plaza Amador meet Veraguas in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol apertura - 9.
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 63%. Attacking output favors Plaza Amador on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.4 per match.
Plaza Amador arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Veraguas, D 2-2 @ Independiente de La Chorrera, W 4-1 v Herrera, L 1-4 @ San Francisco FC.
Veraguas are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Plaza Amador, W 2-1 v Alianza FC, L 1-3 @ CD Arabe Unido, D 1-1 @ UMECIT.
The market prices PLA at 60% implied. Our number sits apart on Veraguas: a 12.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
