De Graafschap v Excelsior: the model read
De Graafschap meet Excelsior in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies.
Excelsior rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1420. Recent form leans Excelsior, 57% against 37%. Attacking output favors Excelsior on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.9 per match.
De Graafschap arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Almere City FC, L 1-2 @ VVV Venlo, L 2-5 v Jong AZ, D 1-1 @ Helmond Sport.
Excelsior are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 17 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Sparta Rotterdam, L 1-2 v PSV Eindhoven, W 4-0 @ Cambuur, W 5-1 @ De Graafschap.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: De Graafschap 1-5 Excelsior.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
