Borac Banja Luka v Čelik

Borac Banja Luka meet Čelik in the Premijer Liga regular season - 3 at Gradski stadion Banja Luka, Banja Luka.

The baseline ratings are close, 1674 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Borac Banja Luka, 74% against 65%. Attacking output favors Čelik on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Borac Banja Luka at 53%; double chance reads Borac Banja Luka or draw 67%, Čelik or draw 63%.

Borac Banja Luka arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Vikingur Reykjavik, W 2-0 v Čelik, W 3-1 @ Vikingur Reykjavik, L 0-1 @ ML Vitebsk.

Čelik are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Borac Banja Luka, L 1-2 v Siroki Brijeg, L 1-2 @ Zrinjski, W 4-0 v Zvijezda 09.

Borac Banja Luka hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Borac Banja Luka 2-0 Čelik.

The market prices BOR at 77% implied. Our number sits apart on Čelik: a 25.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.