Afan Lido v Aberystwyth Town: the model read
Afan Lido meet Aberystwyth Town in the FAW Championship south - 1. The model makes Aberystwyth Town the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 31% AFA, 30% draw, 39% ABE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Aberystwyth Town, 48% against 38%. Attacking output favors Aberystwyth Town on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Aberystwyth Town at 56%; double chance reads Afan Lido or draw 61%, Aberystwyth Town or draw 69%.
Afan Lido arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Cardiff MET, L 1-4 @ Cardiff Draconians, W 4-1 v Cwmbran Celtic, W 1-0 @ Aberystwyth Town.
Aberystwyth Town are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Ynyshir Albions, L 1-3 @ Cwmbran Celtic, D 2-2 v Llantwit Major, L 0-1 v Afan Lido.
Aberystwyth Town hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Aberystwyth Town 0-1 Afan Lido.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
