Haverfordwest County AFC v Trefelin

Haverfordwest County AFC meet Trefelin in the Premier League regular season - 6 at Bridge Meadow Stadium, Haverfordwest.

The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Trefelin, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Trefelin on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans Trefelin at 54%; double chance reads Haverfordwest County AFC or draw 61%, Trefelin or draw 67%.

Haverfordwest County AFC arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 0 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Llandudno, L 0-3 v Cambrian & Clydach, L 0-3 v Penybont, L 0-2 @ The New Saints.

Trefelin are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 1 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Ammanford AFC, L 0-2 v Caernarfon Town, L 0-6 @ GAP Connah S Quay FC, L 0-4 v Llandudno.

The market prices HAV at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Trefelin: a 18.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.