Where the market is wrong on Airbus UK v Holywell
Airbus UK meet Holywell in the Premier League regular season - 6 at The Airfield, Broughton.
Airbus UK rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1742 to 1477. Recent form leans Airbus UK, 80% against 45%. Attacking output favors Airbus UK on expected goals, 2.8 to 2.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 69%, over 2.5 goals around 89%. Draw no bet leans Airbus UK at 72%; double chance reads Airbus UK or draw 78%, Holywell or draw 46%.
Airbus UK arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Barry Town, L 0-1 @ Colwyn Bay, W 2-0 v Ammanford AFC, L 0-2 v Cardiff MET.
Holywell are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 7 scored and 20 conceded. Recent results: L 3-5 v Caernarfon Town, L 1-3 v Barry Town, L 1-3 @ Llandudno, L 1-3 v GAP Connah S Quay FC.
Airbus UK hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Holywell 0-3 Airbus UK.
The market prices AIR at 65% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
