Where the market is wrong on Union Berlin v FC Schalke 04
Union Berlin meet FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga regular season - 3.
FC Schalke 04 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1431. Recent form leans FC Schalke 04, 63% against 40%. Attacking output favors Union Berlin on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.8 per match.
Union Berlin arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 12 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Bayer Leverkusen, D 3-3 v Eintracht Frankfurt, W 4-2 @ Eintracht Braunschweig, L 2-4 v Ipswich.
FC Schalke 04 are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Bayern München, L 0-3 @ FC Augsburg, W 5-2 @ Hallescher FC, L 0-3 v Real Madrid.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Union Berlin 0-0 FC Schalke 04.
The market prices UNI at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Schalke 04: a 11.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
