Where the market is wrong on Luzern II v Bulle
Luzern II meet Bulle in the 1. Liga Promotion regular season - 4 at Swissporarena, Lucerne.
Bulle rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1466. Recent form leans Bulle, 73% against 43%. Attacking output favors Bulle on expected goals, 2.5 to 2.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 90%, over 2.5 goals around 96%. Draw no bet leans Bulle at 60%; double chance reads Luzern II or draw 55%, Bulle or draw 70%.
Luzern II arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Bulle, L 3-4 @ Lugano II, L 0-2 v Brühl, W 3-0 @ YF Juventus.
Bulle are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 16 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Young Boys II, W 3-2 @ Luzern II, W 4-1 @ Interlaken, D 2-2 @ Breitenrain.
The market prices LUZ at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on Bulle: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 62 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output