Antoniano v Don Benito: the model read
Antoniano meet Don Benito in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 group 4 - 1. The model makes Don Benito the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 20% ANT, 29% draw, 51% DON.
Don Benito rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1454. Recent form leans Don Benito, 75% against 43%. Attacking output favors Don Benito on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Don Benito at 72%; double chance reads Antoniano or draw 49%, Don Benito or draw 80%.
Antoniano arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Real Jaén, W 2-0 v Recreativo Huelva, L 2-3 @ Málaga II, D 1-1 v Yeclano.
Don Benito are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Moralo, W 8-1 v Diocesano, L 0-1 @ Villafranca, W 2-0 @ Jerez.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Antoniano 1-0 Don Benito.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
