Where the market is wrong on Compostela v Sestao River
Compostela meet Sestao River in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 group 1 - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 53%. Attacking output favors Compostela on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Compostela arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Sestao River, D 0-0 @ Portugalete, D 1-1 v Derio, L 0-3 v Marino de Luanco.
Sestao River are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Atlético Astorga, L 0-2 @ Compostela, W 2-1 @ Comillas, W 2-0 v Real Oviedo II.
Compostela hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Compostela 2-0 Sestao River.
The market prices COM at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Sestao River: a 3.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
