Where the market is wrong on Getafe v Racing Santander
Getafe meet Racing Santander in the La Liga regular season - 2 at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 55%. Attacking output favors Racing Santander on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Racing Santander at 54%; double chance reads Getafe or draw 63%, Racing Santander or draw 68%.
Getafe arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ FK Partizan, W 1-0 v Racing Santander, W 3-1 v FK Partizan, L 0-3 @ Alaves.
Racing Santander are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Getafe, D 2-2 v Villarreal, D 1-1 v Alaves, W 4-1 v Sporting Gijon.
Getafe hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Getafe 1-0 Racing Santander.
The market prices GET at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Racing Santander: a 10.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 77 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
