Alaves v Getafe: the model read
Alaves meet Getafe in the La Liga regular season - 1 at Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz. The model makes Getafe the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 28% ALA, 32% draw, 40% GET.
Getafe rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1477. Recent form leans Getafe, 63% against 48%. Attacking output favors Alaves on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Getafe at 59%; double chance reads Alaves or draw 60%, Getafe or draw 72%.
Alaves arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Eibar, L 1-2 v Rayo Vallecano, W 1-0 @ Oviedo, W 1-0 v Barcelona.
Getafe are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Tenerife, W 1-0 v Reading, W 1-0 v Osasuna, L 0-1 @ Elche.
Getafe hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Alaves 0-2 Getafe.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
