Where the market is wrong on Girona v Albacete
Girona meet Albacete in the Segunda División regular season - 7 at Estadi Montilivi, Girona.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 43%. Attacking output favors Girona on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Girona arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Albacete, W 2-1 @ Cadiz, L 1-2 v Castellón, W 2-0 @ Sporting Gijon.
Albacete are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Girona, L 1-2 v Cordoba, D 1-1 @ Granada CF, L 0-2 @ Castellón.
Girona hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Girona 2-0 Albacete.
The market prices GIR at 61% implied. Our number sits apart on Albacete: a 16.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
